The new normal involves fewer and fewer humans in the loop. So it's not just that things are changing and we need to adapt, I think the world will be able to get by with a lot less labor (more capital though). It's not like we're losing a fun hobby, it's a living. It's ikigai but more importantly it's food in the table.
Some seem to think we'll just get 10x as much done. But I just don't think there's that much more stuff that actually needs doing. We won't build 10 Google Mapses, and there aren't 9 other apps that have the utility of Google Maps.
(Please debate me on this as I don't want to be right.)
[−]armchairhacker · 2026-10-11 Sun 00:25 UTC ·
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We will build more small mods and variations. Ideally we won’t rebuild the codebase 10 times, but 10 different people would like their Google Maps to be slightly different.
I also tend to believe that the market for SW developers will shrink.
In Europe, the AI revolution is hitting at the same time as an economic crisis triggered by expensive energy which is in turn making companies cut costs / local positions and outsource to cheap locations.
The idea that more SW will be built is likely correct, but it might not be a well-paying job or be done in Europe at all.
Some seem to think we'll just get 10x as much done. But I just don't think there's that much more stuff that actually needs doing. We won't build 10 Google Mapses, and there aren't 9 other apps that have the utility of Google Maps.
(Please debate me on this as I don't want to be right.)
The idea that more SW will be built is likely correct, but it might not be a well-paying job or be done in Europe at all.